Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 4:36 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
Our computer model predicts a win for the Pittsburgh Steelers when they meet the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Falcons put up 18.9 points per game on offense last season, which ranked them 26th in the NFL. On defense, they ranked 18th, surrendering 21.9 points per contest. The Steelers totaled 304.3 yards per game on offense last season (25th in NFL), and they ranked 21st on defense with 342.1 yards allowed per game.
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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers (+3.5) | Under (41.5) | Steelers 22, Falcons 17 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
- Atlanta covered five times in 17 games with a spread last season.
- The Falcons covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more last season (in two opportunities).
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Atlanta games.
- The over/under in this game is 41.5 points, 1.4 higher than the average total in Falcons games last season.
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Steelers Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Steelers, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
- Pittsburgh went 10-7-0 ATS last season.
- The Steelers were an underdog by 3.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in each of those games.
- A total of six of Pittsburgh games last season went over the point total.
- Steelers games averaged 38.8 total points last season, 2.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 18.9 | 21.9 | 24 | 20.3 | 14.3 | 23.4 |
| Steelers | 17.9 | 19.1 | 18.3 | 19.2 | 17.4 | 18.9 |
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