Georgia State vs. Mercer Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 28

Published 3:30 am Friday, December 27, 2024

Saturday’s game that pits the Georgia State Panthers (4-8) against the Mercer Bears (6-6) at Georgia State Convocation Center has a projected final score of 79-75 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Georgia State, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 2:00 PM ET on December 28.

According to our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Mercer. The over/under is currently listed at 156.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Georgia State vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Georgia State Convocation Center
  • Line: Georgia State -1.5
  • Point total: 156.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Georgia State -132, Mercer +110

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Georgia State vs. Mercer Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Georgia State 79, Mercer 75

Spread & Total Prediction for Georgia State vs. Mercer

  • Pick ATS: Georgia State (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (156.5)

Georgia State has compiled a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season, while Mercer is 6-4-0. The Panthers have a 5-6-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bears have a record of 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams put up 155.2 points per game combined, 1.3 less than this matchup’s total.

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Georgia State Performance Insights

  • The Panthers are being outscored by 8.2 points per game with a -98 scoring differential overall. They put up 71.6 points per game (271st in college basketball) and allow 79.8 per contest (337th in college basketball).
  • Georgia State pulls down 35.2 rebounds per game (69th in college basketball) while conceding 31.6 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.6 boards per game.
  • Georgia State connects on 6.7 three-pointers per game (284th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (7.9).
  • The Panthers rank 316th in college basketball with 88.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 332nd in college basketball defensively with 98.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Georgia State has committed 12.9 turnovers per game (290th in college basketball play), 3.0 more than the 9.9 it forces on average (324th in college basketball).

Mercer Performance Insights

  • The Bears have a +95 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.9 points per game. They’re putting up 83.6 points per game, 41st in college basketball, and are allowing 75.7 per contest to rank 288th in college basketball.
  • Mercer pulls down 36.1 rebounds per game (49th in college basketball) while conceding 33.7 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
  • Mercer hits 8.9 three-pointers per game (95th in college basketball) at a 32.7% rate (231st in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 its opponents make, shooting 32.6% from deep.
  • Mercer has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 13.3 per game (313th in college basketball) while forcing 15.0 (27th in college basketball).

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