Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Sunday Night Football Week 3
Published 8:38 pm Saturday, September 21, 2024
Our computer model predicts a win for the Atlanta Falcons when they face the Kansas City Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Chiefs rank sixth in scoring offense (26.5 points per game) and 20th in scoring defense (22.5 points allowed per game) this year. In terms of total yards, the Falcons rank 19th in the NFL (305.5 total yards per game) and 17th on the other side of the ball (317.5 total yards allowed per contest).
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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Falcons (+3) | Under (46.5) | Falcons 22, Chiefs 20 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 41.7% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this year.
- The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2024.
- Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 44.5 points per game, a two-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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Chiefs Betting Info
- The Chiefs have a 62.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Kansas City has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- So far this season, each Kansas City game has hit the over.
- Chiefs games have had an average of 47 points this season, 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 26.5 | 22.5 | 26.5 | 22.5 | – | – |
| Falcons | 16 | 19.5 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
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