Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 4:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
A win by the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Falcons are totaling 307.3 yards per game offensively this season (20th in NFL), and they are surrendering 326.7 yards per game (18th) on defense. With 343.3 total yards per game on offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL in 2024. Defensively, they rank 21st, allowing 335.3 total yards per contest.
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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Atlanta games have not hit the over yet this season.
- Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this year.
- The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- This season, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
- The average total points scored in Saints games this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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