On Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Falcons will win — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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Offensively, the Falcons rank 22nd in the NFL with 18.8 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th in points allowed (336.5 points allowed per contest). The Buccaneers rank 16th with 319 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 18th with 335.3 total yards ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance to win.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• So far this season, just one Atlanta game has hit the over.
• The total for this game is 44, 0.3 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season (playoffs included).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The Buccaneers have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Tampa Bay has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• So far this year, two Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total.
• The average total points scored in Buccaneers games this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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