Saturday’s game at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (7-4, 0-0 Sun Belt) squaring off against the Georgia State Panthers (4-7, 0-0 Sun Belt) at 2:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 78-68 victory, as our model heavily favors Troy.

According to our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 12.5-point spread in its matchup against Troy. The over/under is currently listed at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Troy vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -12.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -901, Georgia State +570

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Troy vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 78, Georgia State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Georgia State

• Pick ATS: Georgia State (+12.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Troy is 6-3-0 against the spread, while Georgia State’s ATS record this season is 5-5-0. The Trojans are 5-4-0 and the Panthers are 5-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 148.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +88 scoring differential, topping opponents by eight points per game. They’re putting up 75.3 points per game to rank 199th in college basketball and are giving up 67.3 per outing to rank 82nd in college basketball.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It is recording 34.5 rebounds per game (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per outing.
• Troy makes 6.4 three-pointers per game (307th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.9 on average.
• The Trojans rank 241st in college basketball with 93.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 40th in college basketball defensively with 83.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 15.4 turnovers per game (355th in college basketball action) while forcing 14.7 (44th in college basketball).

Georgia State Performance Insights

• The Panthers have been outscored by 7.1 points per game (posting 72.9 points per game, 248th in college basketball, while giving up 80 per contest, 344th in college basketball) and have a -78 scoring differential.
• Georgia State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 5.1 boards. It records 36.2 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.1.
• Georgia State knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (284th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents.
• Georgia State has committed 12.9 turnovers per game (286th in college basketball), 3.1 more than the 9.8 it forces (327th in college basketball).

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